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> At a large enough company you continuously lose people for natural reasons, like retirement, moving for a spouse, moving to be closer to family. Past a tipping point you're just always hiring.

As an analogy it's kinda like hard drives: when one of my hard drives dies, it's An Event which I need to deal with specifically; I need to order a replacement for that specific drive. At Google's server farms, hard drives dying is just a statistic, you continuously buy hard drives just because you know existing drives are gonna die at some semi-predictable rate.

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Or a more morbid analogy: military casualties in a war.

It's not really an analogy, it's just facts of life. In a large enough company or over a long enough time period at a job or in your career, realistically people actually will eventually die and cause vacancies. I've had two coworkers die, one because of illness, the other because of an auto accident. I stopped using the "bus factor of one" phrase as a result even and use "redundancy or succession planning" since it's not outside the realm of possibility that someone might get hit by a vehicle.

"Lottery factor" works, though it's more of a mouthful

Sure, but in one many more people leave the workforce by being killed and maimed than in the other.

More morbidly, military casualties in what the military insists isn't war.

Even in peacetime, training accidents kill an expected number of military personnel each year.

I'm not talking about training accidents.



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